Thursday, March 20, 2008

Out of hibernation

YTD results for the Longs/Rocket is
There were 137 total stocks entered. Of those, 134 or 97.81% were complete and 3 or 2.19% were open.
Of the 134 completed trades, 60 trades or 44.78%resulted in a net gain.
Your average net change for completed trades was: -0.51%.
The average draw down of your approach was: -6.86%.
The average max profit of your approach was: 7.03%
The Reward/Risk ratio for this approach is: 0.89
Annualized Return on Investment (ROI): -125.49%

YTD results for the Shorts/Crash is
There were 144 total stocks entered. Of those, 143 or 99.31% were complete and 1 or 0.69% were open.
Of the 143 completed trades, 93 trades or 65.03%resulted in a net gain.
Your average net change for completed trades was: 1.51%.
The average draw down of your approach was: -4.85%.
The average max profit of your approach was: 6.28%
The Reward/Risk ratio for this approach is: 1.67
Annualized Return on Investment (ROI): 372.33%,

YTD to 3/18/2007

Notice the -125% ROI going Long in this down trending market and the +372% ROI going Short. Reminds me, somebody saying "Go with the flow" or was it "The trend is your friend", same thing. Bottom line, going long in the midst of a bear market, you're gonna get your balls handed to you. Going short will make some nice bank. For this particular filter anyways.
With that said here are the Shorts for tomorrow:
FNM
FRE
ISTA
ENOC



Results for the year 2007:
Long/Bounce
There were 367 total stocks entered. Of those, 366 or 99.73% were complete and 1 or 0.27% were open.
Of the 366 completed trades, 200 trades or 54.64%resulted in a net gain.
Your average net change for completed trades was: 1.82%.
The average draw down of your approach was: -4.64%.
The average max profit of your approach was: 5.35%
The Reward/Risk ratio for this approach is: 1.87
Annualized Return on Investment (ROI): 449.61%


Short/Crash
There were 310 total stocks entered. Of those, 310 or 100.00% were complete and or 0.00% were open.
Of the 310 completed trades, 199 trades or 64.19%resulted in a net gain.
Your average net change for completed trades was: 1.92%.
The average draw down of your approach was: -5.36%.
The average max profit of your approach was: 7.39%
The Reward/Risk ratio for this approach is: 1.76
Annualized Return on Investment (ROI): 474.49%

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